Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round of 16Full time
Atlético Madrid
1-1
Manchester United
Model's readEstadio Wanda Metropolitano
1 50%X 22%2 28%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
72.0%
xG
1.9 – 1.4
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →Atlético MadridWWWWLManchester UnitedDDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedAtlético Madrid favoured at 50%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.87 goals for Atlético Madrid and 1.35 for Manchester United, giving 50% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.87 - 1.35
- Clean sheet chance: Atlético Madrid 26%, Manchester United 15%
Match result
1X2Atlético Madrid49.7%
Draw22.4%
Manchester United28.0%
Atlético MadridLast 10 gamesManchester United1.90Points per game1.50
2.0Goals scored per game2.1
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Atlético MadridWWWWL
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 2 meetings1
Atlético Madrid
1
Draws
0
Manchester United
- 15 Mar 22Manchester United 0-1 Atlético Madrid
- 23 Feb 22Atlético Madrid 1-1 Manchester United