Manchester United vs Atlético Madrid prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round of 16Full time
Manchester United
0-1
Atlético Madrid
Model's readOld Trafford
1 51%X 22%2 27%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.4%
xG
1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Manchester UnitedDDLLWAtlético MadridWWWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedManchester United favoured at 51%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.91 goals for Manchester United and 1.32 for Atlético Madrid, giving 51% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.91 - 1.32
- Clean sheet chance: Manchester United 27%, Atlético Madrid 15%
Match result
1X2Manchester United51.3%
Draw22.1%
Atlético Madrid26.6%
Manchester UnitedLast 10 gamesAtlético Madrid1.50Points per game1.90
2.1Goals scored per game2.0
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
60%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Manchester UnitedDDLLW
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Manchester United
1
Draws
1
Atlético Madrid
- 15 Mar 22Manchester United 0-1 Atlético Madrid
- 23 Feb 22Atlético Madrid 1-1 Manchester United