São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

75.5%

xG

0.9 – 1.3

Over 2.5

38%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →

São PauloLLWLW

PalmeirasWDWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Palmeiras favoured at 46%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.90 goals for São Paulo and 1.33 for Palmeiras, giving 24% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 46% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 0.90 - 1.33
Clean sheet chance: São Paulo 27%, Palmeiras 41%

Match result

1X2

São Paulo24.5%

Draw29.9%

Palmeiras45.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.2

São Paulo

Average

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

São PauloLast 10 games

Palmeiras

1.10Points per game1.60

0.9Goals scored per game1.5

1.2Goals conceded per game0.7

30%Over 2.5 goals40%

50%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets60%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

São PauloLLWLW

PalmeirasWDWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10▲	São PauloHT 1-1	28	+2	37
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	VitóriaHT 1-1	29	-14	34
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18