Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
The model projects 1.45 goals for Uruguay and 1.03 for South Korea, giving 46% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Uruguay
Above average
South Korea
Above average
8
Uruguay
1
Draws
1
South Korea