Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
46%
The model makes Mexico slight favourites, with a 42% home win against 31% for a draw and 28% for South Korea. Expected goals are 1.25 for Mexico and 0.97 for South Korea, so under 2.5 goals at 62% looks more likely than not.
Mexico
Average
South Korea
Above average
5
Mexico
2
Draws
1
South Korea