Sierra Leone vs Guinea-Bissau prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 2Full time
Sierra Leone
2-2
Guinea-Bissau
Model's readStade Général Lansana Conté
1 39%X 31%2 30%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
60.8%
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
Guinea-BissauDLLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedSierra Leone favoured at 39%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.19 goals for Sierra Leone and 1.01 for Guinea-Bissau, giving 39% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.19 - 1.01
- Clean sheet chance: Sierra Leone 37%, Guinea-Bissau 31%
Match result
1X2Sierra Leone39.2%
Draw30.6%
Guinea-Bissau30.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
5.0
Guinea-Bissau
Average
Sierra LeoneLast 10 gamesGuinea-Bissau1.40Points per game0.80
1.1Goals scored per game0.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Over 2.5 goals20%
50%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings4
Sierra Leone
3
Draws
1
Guinea-Bissau
- 4 Sept 25Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone
- 20 Mar 25Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
- 11 Sept 23Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
- 13 Jun 22Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
- 17 Nov 07Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Sierra Leone