Ethiopia vs Egypt prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 2Full time
Ethiopia
2-0
Egypt
Model's readBingu National Stadium
1 19%X 29%2 52%
Our pick
Away Win
52.1%
xG
0.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
36%
Both score
40%
Form
Full stats →
EthiopiaDWLWL
EgyptLLDDWMatch analysis
Model generatedEgypt favoured at 52%, in a tight game
The model projects 0.74 goals for Ethiopia and 1.41 for Egypt, giving 19% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 16%
- Expected goals: 0.74 - 1.41
- Clean sheet chance: Ethiopia 25%, Egypt 48%
Match result
1X2Ethiopia19.0%
Draw28.9%
Egypt52.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
5.7
Egypt
Above average
EthiopiaLast 10 gamesEgypt1.60Points per game1.30
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Ethiopia
1
Draws
8
Egypt
- 5 Sept 25Egypt 2-0 Ethiopia
- 21 Mar 25Ethiopia 0-2 Egypt
- 8 Sept 23Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
- 9 Jun 22Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
- 8 Aug 02Egypt 4-1 Ethiopia