Uganda vs Tanzania prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time
Uganda
0-1
Tanzania
Model's readSuez Canal Stadium
1 36%X 30%2 33%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
63.8%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
UgandaDWLDL
TanzaniaWLLDDMatch analysis
Model generatedUganda favoured at 36%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.15 goals for Uganda and 1.09 for Tanzania, giving 36% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.15 - 1.09
- Clean sheet chance: Uganda 34%, Tanzania 32%
Match result
1X2Uganda36.2%
Draw30.4%
Tanzania33.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Uganda
Above average
5.4
Tanzania
Average
UgandaLast 10 gamesTanzania1.40Points per game0.50
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
60%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Uganda
2
Draws
5
Tanzania
- 27 Dec 25Uganda 1-1 Tanzania
- 22 Jul 25Tanzania 1-0 Uganda
- 28 Mar 23Tanzania 0-1 Uganda
- 24 Mar 23Uganda 0-1 Tanzania
- 24 Sept 22Tanzania 1-0 Uganda