Guinea-Bissau vs Sierra Leone prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 6Full time
Guinea-Bissau
2-1
Sierra Leone
Model's readEstádio Nacional 24 de Setembro
1 30%X 31%2 39%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.8%
xG
1.0 – 1.2
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
Guinea-BissauDLLLW
Sierra LeoneLWDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedSierra Leone favoured at 39%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.01 goals for Guinea-Bissau and 1.19 for Sierra Leone, giving 30% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.01 - 1.19
- Clean sheet chance: Guinea-Bissau 31%, Sierra Leone 37%
Match result
1X2Guinea-Bissau30.2%
Draw30.6%
Sierra Leone39.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Guinea-Bissau
Average
5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
Guinea-BissauLast 10 gamesSierra Leone0.80Points per game1.40
0.6Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
20%Over 2.5 goals30%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings1
Guinea-Bissau
3
Draws
4
Sierra Leone
- 4 Sept 25Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone
- 20 Mar 25Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
- 11 Sept 23Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
- 13 Jun 22Sierra Leone 2-2 Guinea-Bissau
- 17 Nov 07Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Sierra Leone