Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.6

Over 2.5

59%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →

Union BerlinWLLLD

MainzLWLWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Mainz favoured at 39%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.49 goals for Union Berlin and 1.57 for Mainz, giving 35% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.57
Clean sheet chance: Union Berlin 21%, Mainz 23%

Match result

1X2

Union Berlin35.4%

Draw25.5%

Mainz39.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.2

Union Berlin

Average

5.7

Mainz

Above average

Union BerlinLast 10 games

Mainz

1.10Points per game1.40

1.6Goals scored per game2.2

2.5Goals conceded per game1.9

90%Over 2.5 goals70%

60%Both teams scored70%

20%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Union BerlinWLLLD

MainzLWLWD

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	4	+12	10
3	Freiburg	4	+9	10
4	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
5	Augsburg	4	+5	7
6	Bayer Leverkusen	4	+5	7
7	Mainz	4	+4	7
8	Elversberg	4	+1	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	-2	4
13	Köln	4	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	-3	3
16	Hamburg	4	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0