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Elche vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga · Round 5Full time

Elche

1-4

Sun, 11 Sept

Athletic Bilbao

Model's readEstadio Manuel Martínez Valero
1 40%X 26%2 34%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.6%

xG

1.4 – 1.3

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →
ElcheDWLDL
Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Elche favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.42 goals for Elche and 1.29 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 40% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.42 - 1.29
  • Clean sheet chance: Elche 27%, Athletic Bilbao 24%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Elche v Athletic Bilbao

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Elche39.9%
Draw26.2%
Athletic Bilbao33.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.5

Elche

Average

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

ElcheLast 10 gamesAthletic Bilbao
1.00Points per game1.00
1.3Goals scored per game1.0
1.8Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
70%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

ElcheDWLDL
  • 11 OctHCelta Vigo0-0
  • 18 SeptAEspanyol3-1
  • 15 SeptHReal Madrid2-3
  • 12 SeptAAthletic Bilbao1-1
  • 7 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
  • 28 AugARacing de Santander2-3
Athletic BilbaoDDDWW
  • 10 OctARayo Vallecano0-0
  • 19 SeptHDeportivo Alavés0-0
  • 12 SeptHElche1-1
  • 5 SeptHAtlético Madrid3-0
  • 30 AugACelta Vigo2-0
  • 27 AugABarcelona0-2

Spanish La Liga

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona8+2724
2Atlético Madrid8+1019
3Real Madrid8+1118
4Real Betis7+216
5Sevilla7+113
6▲Real SociedadHT 2-08-213
7▼Deportivo Alavés8+411
8▼Deportivo de A CoruñaHT 0-28010
9Athletic Bilbao6+18
10Villarreal808
11Espanyol808
12Rayo Vallecano7-58
13Getafe8-68
14Osasuna7-78
15Celta Vigo7+27
16Racing de Santander7-107
17Levante6-45
18Elche7-65
19Valencia7-94
20Málaga8-94
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Elche

3

Draws

5

Athletic Bilbao

  • 12 Sept 26Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Elche
  • 20 Feb 26Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Elche
  • 19 Oct 25Elche 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
  • 28 May 23Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Elche
  • 11 Sept 22Elche 1-4 Athletic Bilbao
Every meeting between these two →