Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletic Bilbao favoured at 48%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.54 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.08 for Rayo Vallecano, giving 48% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.08
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 34%, Rayo Vallecano 21%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao47.6%

Draw26.0%

Rayo Vallecano26.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Rayo Vallecano

1.00Points per game1.20

1.0Goals scored per game1.3

1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

30%Over 2.5 goals60%

40%Both teams scored80%

40%Clean sheets10%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4