Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

73.6%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Rayo Vallecano favoured at 44%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.45 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.15 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.45 - 1.15
Clean sheet chance: Rayo Vallecano 32%, Athletic Bilbao 23%

Match result

1X2

Rayo Vallecano43.8%

Draw26.5%

Athletic Bilbao29.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

Rayo VallecanoLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

1.20Points per game1.00

1.3Goals scored per game1.0

1.8Goals conceded per game1.3

60%Over 2.5 goals30%

80%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets40%

20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4