Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

76.1%

xG

1.2 – 1.8

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

BarcelonaWWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Barcelona favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.16 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.83 for Barcelona, giving 24% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.16 - 1.83
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 16%, Barcelona 31%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao23.9%

Draw23.3%

Barcelona52.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

9.6

Barcelona

Elite

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Barcelona

1.00Points per game2.70

1.0Goals scored per game4.0

1.3Goals conceded per game1.1

30%Over 2.5 goals90%

40%Both teams scored60%

40%Clean sheets40%

40%Failed to score0%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

BarcelonaWWWWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9▲	Celta Vigo62′ 0-0	8	+2	8
10▼	Villarreal	7	+1	8
11▼	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
12▼	Espanyol	8	0	8
13▼	Getafe	7	-3	8
14▼	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
15▼	Osasuna	7	-7	8
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17▲	Elche62′ 0-0	8	-6	6
18▼	Levante	6	-4	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4