Roma vs Atalanta Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

75.5%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

RomaDDWDW

AtalantaLLLWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Roma favoured at 52%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.64 goals for Roma and 1.04 for Atalanta, giving 52% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.64 - 1.04
Clean sheet chance: Roma 35%, Atalanta 19%

Match result

1X2

Roma51.7%

Draw23.9%

Atalanta24.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.1

Roma

Strong

6.3

Atalanta

Above average

RomaLast 10 games

Atalanta

2.40Points per game1.40

2.2Goals scored per game1.0

0.6Goals conceded per game1.1

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

40%Both teams scored50%

60%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

RomaDDWDW

AtalantaLLLWW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2	Roma	5	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4▲	AC Milan12′ 0-0	6	+6	12
5▼	Cagliari	5	+3	12
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo12′ 0-0	6	0	8
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza	5	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	-9	0