Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

78.5%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →

RomaDDWDW

FiorentinaLDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Roma favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.88 goals for Roma and 0.92 for Fiorentina, giving 60% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.88 - 0.92
Clean sheet chance: Roma 40%, Fiorentina 15%

Match result

1X2

Roma60.2%

Draw21.5%

Fiorentina18.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.1

Roma

Strong

5.1

Fiorentina

Average

RomaLast 10 games

Fiorentina

2.40Points per game1.40

2.2Goals scored per game1.7

0.6Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

RomaDDWDW

FiorentinaLDWWL

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2	Roma	5	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza	5	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	-9	0