Lecce vs Roma prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 22Full time
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Model's readStadio Comunale Via del Mare
1 16%X 22%2 62%
Our pick
Away Win
62.0%
xG
0.8 – 1.8
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →LecceLLWLLRomaDDWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedRoma favoured at 62%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.77 goals for Lecce and 1.79 for Roma, giving 16% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 62% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.77 - 1.79
- Clean sheet chance: Lecce 17%, Roma 46%
Match result
1X2Lecce16.0%
Draw22.0%
Roma62.0%
Model rating
All ratings →4.4
Lecce
Average
8.1
Roma
Strong
LecceLast 10 gamesRoma1.20Points per game2.40
1.0Goals scored per game2.2
1.7Goals conceded per game0.6
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets60%
50%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Lecce
2
Draws
8
Roma
- 31 Aug 26Lecce 0-4 Roma
- 22 Mar 26Roma 1-0 Lecce
- 6 Jan 26Lecce 0-2 Roma
- 29 Mar 25Lecce 0-1 Roma
- 7 Dec 24Roma 4-1 Lecce