Atalanta vs Roma prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.6%
xG
1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
AtalantaLLLWW
RomaDWDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedRoma favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.48 for Roma, giving 30% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.17 - 1.48
- Clean sheet chance: Atalanta 23%, Roma 31%
Match result
1X2Atalanta30.4%
Draw25.0%
Roma44.6%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Atalanta
Above average
8.1
Roma
Strong
AtalantaLast 10 gamesRoma1.40Points per game2.60
1.0Goals scored per game2.6
1.1Goals conceded per game0.6
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets60%
30%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Atalanta
2
Draws
2
Roma
- 5 Sept 26Roma 2-1 Atalanta
- 18 Apr 26Roma 1-1 Atalanta
- 3 Jan 26Atalanta 1-0 Roma
- 12 May 25Atalanta 2-1 Roma
- 2 Dec 24Roma 0-2 Atalanta