Vitória de Guimarães vs Casa Pia Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.8%

xG

1.6 – 0.9

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Casa PiaLWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória de Guimarães favoured at 54%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.58 goals for Vitória de Guimarães and 0.88 for Casa Pia, giving 54% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.58 - 0.88
Clean sheet chance: Vitória de Guimarães 41%, Casa Pia 21%

Match result

1X2

Vitória de Guimarães54.1%

Draw24.8%

Casa Pia21.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.7

Vitória de Guimarães

Average

3.8

Casa Pia

Weak

Vitória de GuimarãesLast 10 games

Casa Pia

0.50Points per game0.80

0.6Goals scored per game0.5

1.6Goals conceded per game1.7

30%Over 2.5 goals30%

40%Both teams scored20%

20%Clean sheets30%

50%Failed to score70%

Recent results

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Casa PiaLWLDL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2