Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.0%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

Casa PiaLWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Estoril Praia favoured at 53%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.62 goals for Estoril Praia and 0.98 for Casa Pia, giving 53% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.62 - 0.98
Clean sheet chance: Estoril Praia 38%, Casa Pia 20%

Match result

1X2

Estoril Praia52.7%

Draw24.3%

Casa Pia23.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.3

Estoril Praia

Average

3.8

Casa Pia

Weak

Estoril PraiaLast 10 games

Casa Pia

0.30Points per game0.80

0.6Goals scored per game0.5

1.6Goals conceded per game1.7

40%Over 2.5 goals30%

60%Both teams scored20%

10%Clean sheets30%

40%Failed to score70%

Recent results

Estoril PraiaLLLDL

Casa PiaLWLDL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2▲	Benfica39′ 1-0	8	+16	19
3▼	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
4▼	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
5	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
6	Arouca	7	+3	11
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães39′ 0-1	8	-4	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2