Braga vs Estoril Praia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 27Full time
Braga
4-1
Estoril Praia
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Braga
1 57%X 23%2 20%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.9%
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →BragaLDWLWEstoril PraiaLLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedBraga favoured at 57%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.79 goals for Braga and 0.95 for Estoril Praia, giving 57% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.79 - 0.95
- Clean sheet chance: Braga 39%, Estoril Praia 17%
Match result
1X2Braga57.2%
Draw22.7%
Estoril Praia20.1%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
Braga
Strong
4.3
Estoril Praia
Average
BragaLast 10 gamesEstoril Praia1.60Points per game0.30
1.0Goals scored per game0.6
0.8Goals conceded per game1.6
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored60%
60%Clean sheets10%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de MadeiraHT 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio AveHT 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Braga
3
Draws
1
Estoril Praia
- 14 Sept 26Braga 1-0 Estoril Praia
- 3 May 26Braga 1-1 Estoril Praia
- 19 Dec 25Estoril Praia 1-0 Braga
- 19 Apr 25Estoril Praia 0-2 Braga
- 6 Dec 24Braga 2-2 Estoril Praia