Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

77.5%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

53%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

FluminenseWWLWD

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Fluminense favoured at 50%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.68 goals for Fluminense and 1.11 for Athletico Paranaense, giving 50% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.11
Clean sheet chance: Fluminense 33%, Athletico Paranaense 19%

Match result

1X2

Fluminense49.8%

Draw25.8%

Athletico Paranaense24.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.4

Fluminense

Strong

6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

FluminenseLast 10 games

Athletico Paranaense

1.90Points per game1.70

1.9Goals scored per game1.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

FluminenseWWLWD

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18