Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home Win

69.4%

xG

2.1 – 0.7

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

43%

Form

Full stats →

FlamengoDWWWW

CorinthiansLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Flamengo favoured at 69%, in a middling game

The model projects 2.07 goals for Flamengo and 0.67 for Corinthians, giving 69% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 14%
Expected goals: 2.07 - 0.67
Clean sheet chance: Flamengo 51%, Corinthians 13%

Match result

1X2

Flamengo69.4%

Draw20.3%

Corinthians10.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.2

Flamengo

Elite

4.9

Corinthians

Average

FlamengoLast 10 games

Corinthians

2.30Points per game0.50

2.1Goals scored per game0.9

0.8Goals conceded per game1.5

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored70%

40%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

FlamengoDWWWW

CorinthiansLLLLL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18