Santos vs Corinthians Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.7%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →

SantosDWWWW

CorinthiansLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Santos favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.62 goals for Santos and 0.99 for Corinthians, giving 51% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.62 - 0.99
Clean sheet chance: Santos 37%, Corinthians 20%

Match result

1X2

Santos51.2%

Draw26.5%

Corinthians22.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.2

Santos

Above average

4.9

Corinthians

Average

SantosLast 10 games

Corinthians

2.10Points per game0.50

1.8Goals scored per game0.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored70%

20%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

SantosDWWWW

CorinthiansLLLLL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18