Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

77.2%

xG

1.4 – 1.4

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

CruzeiroWWLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vasco da Gama favoured at 37%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.41 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.36 for Cruzeiro, giving 37% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.41 - 1.36
Clean sheet chance: Vasco da Gama 26%, Cruzeiro 25%

Match result

1X2

Vasco da Gama37.4%

Draw27.1%

Cruzeiro35.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

7.3

Cruzeiro

Strong

Vasco da GamaLast 10 games

Cruzeiro

1.50Points per game2.10

1.4Goals scored per game1.8

1.2Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

50%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets20%

40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

CruzeiroWWLWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18