Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.6%
xG
2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →
UtrechtLWDLD
Sparta RotterdamDLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedUtrecht favoured at 50%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.95 goals for Utrecht and 1.36 for Sparta Rotterdam, giving 50% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.95 - 1.36
- Clean sheet chance: Utrecht 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 14%
Match result
1X2Utrecht50.1%
Draw24.5%
Sparta Rotterdam25.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Utrecht
Above average
4.4
Sparta Rotterdam
Average
UtrechtLast 10 gamesSparta Rotterdam1.20Points per game0.60
1.6Goals scored per game1.5
2.6Goals conceded per game2.7
80%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Utrecht
2
Draws
3
Sparta Rotterdam
- 22 Aug 26Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Utrecht
- 25 Jan 26Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 17 Aug 25Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht
- 14 May 25Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 3 Nov 24Sparta Rotterdam 1-4 Utrecht