Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

71.4%

xG

1.4 – 1.3

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →

Aston VillaDWWLW

Nottingham ForestLLWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Aston Villa favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.43 goals for Aston Villa and 1.27 for Nottingham Forest, giving 40% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.43 - 1.27
Clean sheet chance: Aston Villa 28%, Nottingham Forest 24%

Match result

1X2

Aston Villa39.5%

Draw28.2%

Nottingham Forest32.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.8

Aston Villa

Above average

—

Nottingham Forest

Not rated yet

Aston VillaLast 10 games

Nottingham Forest

1.70Points per game0.70

1.7Goals scored per game0.9

1.5Goals conceded per game1.5

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Aston VillaDWWLW

Nottingham ForestLLWDD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4	Brentford	6	+6	10
5	Chelsea	6	+2	10
6	Leeds United	6	+3	9
7	Liverpool	5	+3	9
8	Everton	5	+3	9
9	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
10	Hull City	5	+2	8
11	Newcastle United	5	0	8
12	Manchester United	6	0	6
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Sunderland	6	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	-6	3
18	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
19	Coventry City	5	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2