Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

71.4%

xG

1.4 – 1.3

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

56%

Form

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Aston VillaDWWLW

Nottingham ForestLWDDL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Under 3.5 goals is the model's strongest read

The model's strongest selection is Under 3.5 Goals at 71%, against a 65% norm in this competition, so the gap is the real signal. Expected goals are 1.43 for Villa and 1.27 for Forest, a total of 2.70. Aston Villa are still the slight favourites at 40% to win.

Match result

1X2

Aston Villa39.5%

Draw28.2%

Nottingham Forest32.3%

Model rating

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5.8

Aston Villa

Above average

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Nottingham Forest

Not rated yet

Aston VillaLast 10 games

Nottingham Forest

1.70Points per game0.70

1.7Goals scored per game0.8

1.5Goals conceded per game1.6

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored50%

20%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score50%

Recent results

Aston VillaDWWLW

Nottingham ForestLWDDL

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2