Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Celta VigoDWLDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletic Bilbao favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.47 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.05 for Celta Vigo, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.47 - 1.05
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 35%, Celta Vigo 23%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao46.5%

Draw26.7%

Celta Vigo26.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

5.4

Celta Vigo

Average

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Celta Vigo

1.00Points per game1.10

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.3Goals conceded per game0.7

30%Over 2.5 goals20%

40%Both teams scored30%

40%Clean sheets50%

40%Failed to score50%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Celta VigoDWLDD

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6▲	Real Sociedad76′ 3-2	8	-3	13
7▼	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
8▼	Deportivo de A Coruña76′ 2-3	8	+1	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4