Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.5%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

54%

Form

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OsasunaDLLLW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Osasuna favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.42 goals for Osasuna and 1.23 for Rayo Vallecano, giving 41% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.42 - 1.23
Clean sheet chance: Osasuna 29%, Rayo Vallecano 24%

Match result

1X2

Osasuna41.0%

Draw26.5%

Rayo Vallecano32.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Osasuna

Average

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

OsasunaLast 10 games

Rayo Vallecano

0.80Points per game1.20

0.8Goals scored per game1.3

1.8Goals conceded per game1.8

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

50%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets10%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

OsasunaDLLLW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6▲	Real SociedadHT 2-0	8	-2	13
7▼	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
8▼	Deportivo de A CoruñaHT 0-2	8	0	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4