Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.3%

xG

2.0 – 1.2

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

59%

Form

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Real MadridWLWWW

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Real Madrid favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.97 goals for Real Madrid and 1.15 for Atlético Madrid, giving 56% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 1.97 - 1.15
Clean sheet chance: Real Madrid 32%, Atlético Madrid 14%

Match result

1X2

Real Madrid56.1%

Draw22.2%

Atlético Madrid21.7%

Model rating

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8.2

Real Madrid

Strong

—

Atlético Madrid

Not rated yet

Real MadridLast 10 games

Atlético Madrid

2.40Points per game1.90

2.5Goals scored per game2.0

1.1Goals conceded per game1.5

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

70%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Real MadridWLWWW

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4