Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.0%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Deportivo Alavés favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.49 goals for Deportivo Alavés and 1.13 for Rayo Vallecano, giving 45% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.49 - 1.13
Clean sheet chance: Deportivo Alavés 32%, Rayo Vallecano 22%

Match result

1X2

Deportivo Alavés45.3%

Draw26.2%

Rayo Vallecano28.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Deportivo Alavés

Average

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

Deportivo AlavésLast 10 games

Rayo Vallecano

1.40Points per game1.20

1.4Goals scored per game1.3

1.0Goals conceded per game1.8

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

50%Both teams scored80%

40%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4