Monaco vs Marseille prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
75.3%
xG
1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
63%
Form
Full stats →
MonacoDWDWW
MarseilleLLLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMonaco favoured at 45%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.72 goals for Monaco and 1.40 for Marseille, giving 45% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.72 - 1.40
- Clean sheet chance: Monaco 25%, Marseille 18%
Match result
1X2Monaco44.6%
Draw24.7%
Marseille30.7%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
Monaco
Strong
5.9
Marseille
Above average
MonacoLast 10 gamesMarseille2.00Points per game1.00
2.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Monaco
2
Draws
3
Marseille
- 30 Aug 26Monaco 2-0 Marseille
- 5 Apr 26Monaco 2-1 Marseille
- 14 Dec 25Marseille 1-0 Monaco
- 12 Apr 25Monaco 3-0 Marseille
- 1 Dec 24Marseille 2-1 Monaco