Toulouse vs Lille Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

67.6%

xG

1.2 – 1.4

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

ToulouseDWDLD

LilleWLWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Lille favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.21 goals for Toulouse and 1.37 for Lille, giving 32% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.21 - 1.37
Clean sheet chance: Toulouse 25%, Lille 30%

Match result

1X2

Toulouse32.4%

Draw27.9%

Lille39.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Toulouse

Average

6.9

Lille

Above average

ToulouseLast 10 games

Lille

1.40Points per game1.70

1.5Goals scored per game1.3

1.5Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Over 2.5 goals30%

70%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets50%

30%Failed to score10%

Recent results

ToulouseDWDLD

LilleWLWLW

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12	Le Mans	6	-2	6
13	Toulouse	6	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	-5	6
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	TroyesHT 0-0	6	-7	5
17	MarseilleHT 0-0	6	-1	4
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2