Lorient vs Toulouse prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
73.3%
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
LorientWLDWL
ToulouseDWDLDMatch analysis
EnhancedUnder 3.5 goals is the model's strongest read
The model's strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals at 73%, against a 68% norm for this competition. That gap is the reason it stands out. Lorient are still the likeliest winner at 41%, but the match projects as tight, with 2.61 expected goals in total.
Match result
1X2Lorient40.7%
Draw27.7%
Toulouse31.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Lorient
Average
5.3
Toulouse
Average
LorientLast 10 gamesToulouse1.20Points per game1.40
1.4Goals scored per game1.5
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Lorient
6
Draws
4
Toulouse
- 12 Sept 26Lorient 2-2 Toulouse
- 21 Mar 26Toulouse 1-0 Lorient
- 9 Nov 25Lorient 1-1 Toulouse
- 28 Apr 24Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
- 3 Dec 23Toulouse 1-1 Lorient