Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
54%
The model gives Lens a 55% chance to win, with Lorient at 20%. The strongest signal is Home or Draw at 80%, well above the 68% norm for this competition, so that gap is what stands out. Goals markets sit near 54% either way, which offers little edge.
Lens
Above average
Lorient
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | +7 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 11 | |
| 4 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 5 | -1 | 10 | |
| 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 | |
| 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
| 11 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
5
Lens
2
Draws
3
Lorient