Millwall vs Southampton Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

79.7%

xG

1.4 – 1.5

Over 2.5

56%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →

MillwallWDDLL

SouthamptonWLWWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Southampton favoured at 37%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.45 goals for Millwall and 1.47 for Southampton, giving 36% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 37% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.45 - 1.47
Clean sheet chance: Millwall 23%, Southampton 24%

Match result

1X2

Millwall36.3%

Draw26.5%

Southampton37.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.4

Millwall

Above average

7.5

Southampton

Strong

MillwallLast 10 games

Southampton

1.40Points per game1.70

1.5Goals scored per game2.1

1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Over 2.5 goals70%

40%Both teams scored90%

40%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score0%

Recent results

MillwallWDDLL

SouthamptonWLWWD

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4