Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
60%
Away or Draw is the model's strongest read at 70%, against a 57% norm for this competition. Southampton's attack (2nd best) meets Wrexham's defence (8th weakest), with 1.66 expected goals for the away side. The gap over the norm matters more than the raw figure.
Wrexham
Above average
Southampton
Strong
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
1
Wrexham
0
Draws
2
Southampton