Cardiff vs Stoke prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 34Full time
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Model's readCardiff City Stadium
1 45%X 27%2 29%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
78.1%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →CardiffLWLDLStokeWWWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedCardiff favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.59 goals for Cardiff and 1.23 for Stoke, giving 45% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.59 - 1.23
- Clean sheet chance: Cardiff 29%, Stoke 20%
Match result
1X2Cardiff44.6%
Draw26.6%
Stoke28.8%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Cardiff
Average
5.0
Stoke
Average
CardiffLast 10 gamesStoke0.70Points per game1.70
1.2Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored80%
0%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Cardiff
7
Draws
1
Stoke
- 8 Sept 26Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
- 12 Apr 25Cardiff 0-1 Stoke
- 8 Feb 25Stoke 3-3 Cardiff
- 14 Dec 24Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
- 24 Feb 24Cardiff 2-1 Stoke