
Bolton Wanderers
1-0

Cardiff
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
64%
The model gives Bolton Wanderers a slight edge at 38%, against 37% for Cardiff, so the result call is close to a coin flip. The clearer signal is goals: 3.17 expected in total gives over 2.5 a 61% chance and both teams to score 64%. Treat these as probabilities, not sure things.
Bolton Wanderers
Weak
Cardiff
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 8 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 21 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
5
Bolton Wanderers
1
Draws
4
Cardiff