Southampton vs Millwall prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 34Full time
Southampton
1-2
Millwall
Model's readSt. Mary's Stadium
1 50%X 25%2 24%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
75.5%
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →SouthamptonWLWWDMillwallWDDLLMatch analysis
Model generatedSouthampton favoured at 50%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.78 goals for Southampton and 1.18 for Millwall, giving 50% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.78 - 1.18
- Clean sheet chance: Southampton 31%, Millwall 17%
Match result
1X2Southampton50.5%
Draw25.0%
Millwall24.5%
Model rating
All ratings →7.5
Southampton
Strong
6.4
Millwall
Above average
SouthamptonLast 10 gamesMillwall1.70Points per game1.40
2.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
90%Both teams scored40%
10%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score20%
Recent results
SouthamptonWLWWD
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 9 meetings6
Southampton
1
Draws
2
Millwall
- 29 Aug 26Southampton 5-1 Millwall
- 1 Jan 26Southampton 0-0 Millwall
- 29 Nov 25Millwall 3-2 Southampton
- 24 Feb 24Southampton 1-2 Millwall
- 4 Nov 23Millwall 0-1 Southampton