Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.8%
xG
2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
60%
Form
Full stats →
MainzLWLWD
Union BerlinWLLLDMatch analysis
Model generatedMainz favoured at 57%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.02 goals for Mainz and 1.14 for Union Berlin, giving 57% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.02 - 1.14
- Clean sheet chance: Mainz 32%, Union Berlin 13%
Match result
1X2Mainz57.2%
Draw22.6%
Union Berlin20.2%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Mainz
Above average
4.2
Union Berlin
Average
MainzLast 10 gamesUnion Berlin1.40Points per game1.10
2.2Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game2.5
70%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
MainzLWLWD
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 5 | +12 | 11 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  Augsburg | 5 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Elversberg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Stuttgart | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Hamburg | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Paderborn | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Hoffenheim | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings0
Mainz
4
Draws
6
Union Berlin
- 10 May 26Mainz 1-3 Union Berlin
- 10 Jan 26Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz
- 19 Jan 25Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
- 24 Aug 24Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
- 7 Feb 24Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin