Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick Strong

Away or Draw (X2)

78.5%

xG

0.9 – 1.5

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →

LecceLWLLW

AC MilanWLDDW

Match analysis

Model generated

AC Milan favoured at 53%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.86 goals for Lecce and 1.53 for AC Milan, giving 21% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 53% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 0.86 - 1.53
Clean sheet chance: Lecce 22%, AC Milan 42%

Match result

1X2

Lecce21.5%

Draw25.1%

AC Milan53.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.4

Lecce

Average

7.1

AC Milan

Strong

LecceLast 10 games

AC Milan

1.50Points per game1.40

1.1Goals scored per game1.5

1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

30%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets20%

50%Failed to score20%

Recent results

LecceLWLLW

AC MilanWLDDW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Roma68′ 0-0	6	+11	14
2	Inter Milan	5	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6▲	Como68′ 0-0	6	+3	11
7▼	Frosinone	5	+5	10
8▼	Juventus	5	+4	10
9	Napoli	5	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Parma	5	-3	4
16	Monza	5	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	-9	0