Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
48%
The model makes Palermo the favourite, with a 58% home win against 18% for Lecce and 24% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.75 for Palermo and 0.86 for Lecce. Goals markets are close to even, so the strongest read is Home or Away at 76%, above a 71% norm.
Palermo
Strong
Lecce
Average
6
Palermo
3
Draws
1
Lecce