Lecce vs Cagliari prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 19Full time
Lecce
1-1
Cagliari
Model's readStadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
1 30%X 28%2 43%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
70.3%
xG
1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →LecceLWLLWCagliariWWWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedCagliari favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.99 goals for Lecce and 1.25 for Cagliari, giving 30% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.99 - 1.25
- Clean sheet chance: Lecce 29%, Cagliari 37%
Match result
1X2Lecce29.7%
Draw27.7%
Cagliari42.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.4
Lecce
Average
5.5
Cagliari
Above average
LecceLast 10 gamesCagliari1.50Points per game2.10
1.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.6Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets40%
50%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Lecce
4
Draws
3
Cagliari
- 7 Sept 26Cagliari 1-0 Lecce
- 16 Feb 26Cagliari 0-2 Lecce
- 19 Sept 25Lecce 1-2 Cagliari
- 19 Jan 25Cagliari 4-1 Lecce
- 31 Aug 24Lecce 1-0 Cagliari