Napoli vs Genoa prediction, Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A · Round 25Full time
Napoli
1-1
Genoa
Model's readStadio Diego Armando Maradona
1 56%X 24%2 19%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
75.9%
xG
1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →NapoliWDWLLGenoaWLWDLMatch analysis
Model generatedNapoli favoured at 56%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.62 goals for Napoli and 0.82 for Genoa, giving 56% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.62 - 0.82
- Clean sheet chance: Napoli 44%, Genoa 20%
Match result
1X2Napoli56.5%
Draw24.1%
Genoa19.4%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
Napoli
Strong
4.2
Genoa
Average
NapoliLast 10 gamesGenoa1.60Points per game1.00
1.6Goals scored per game1.1
1.0Goals conceded per game1.5
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Napoli
3
Draws
1
Genoa
- 22 Aug 26Genoa 0-2 Napoli
- 7 Feb 26Genoa 2-3 Napoli
- 5 Oct 25Napoli 2-1 Genoa
- 11 May 25Napoli 2-2 Genoa
- 21 Dec 24Genoa 1-2 Napoli