Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.4%

xG

1.7 – 1.1

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

55%

Form

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Inter MilanWDWLW

NapoliWDWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Inter Milan favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.70 goals for Inter Milan and 1.13 for Napoli, giving 51% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.70 - 1.13
Clean sheet chance: Inter Milan 32%, Napoli 18%

Match result

1X2

Inter Milan51.1%

Draw23.3%

Napoli25.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.9

Inter Milan

Elite

7.2

Napoli

Strong

Inter MilanLast 10 games

Napoli

2.10Points per game1.60

2.5Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

70%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets50%

0%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Inter MilanWDWLW

NapoliWDWLL

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2	Roma	5	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	+5	13
4▲	AC Milan58′ 0-0	6	+6	12
5▼	Cagliari	5	+3	12
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo58′ 0-0	6	0	8
11	Atalanta	5	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza	5	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	-9	0