Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
44%
The model projects 1.39 goals for Cagliari and 0.89 for Lecce, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Cagliari
Above average
Lecce
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +11 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | +6 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | +5 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | +4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 5 | -3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 5 | -7 | 1 | |
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
3
Cagliari
4
Draws
3
Lecce