Estrela Amadora vs Braga Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

74.9%

xG

1.1 – 1.7

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

BragaLDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Braga favoured at 51%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.09 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.66 for Braga, giving 25% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 51% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.09 - 1.66
Clean sheet chance: Estrela Amadora 19%, Braga 34%

Match result

1X2

Estrela Amadora25.1%

Draw23.9%

Braga51.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

7.1

Braga

Strong

Estrela AmadoraLast 10 games

Braga

1.20Points per game1.60

1.8Goals scored per game1.0

1.9Goals conceded per game0.8

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

80%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets60%

20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

BragaLDWLW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2