Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 10Full time
Moreirense
1-0
Vitória de Guimarães
Model's readParque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
1 34%X 27%2 39%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.5%
xG
1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →MoreirenseLDWLLVitória de GuimarãesDLDLWMatch analysis
Model generatedVitória de Guimarães favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.18 goals for Moreirense and 1.29 for Vitória de Guimarães, giving 34% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.18 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Moreirense 28%, Vitória de Guimarães 31%
Match result
1X2Moreirense34.1%
Draw26.7%
Vitória de Guimarães39.2%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Moreirense
Average
4.7
Vitória de Guimarães
Average
MoreirenseLast 10 gamesVitória de Guimarães0.90Points per game0.50
0.8Goals scored per game0.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.6
50%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica5′ 0-0 | 8 | +15 | 17 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória de Guimarães5′ 0-0 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Moreirense
2
Draws
6
Vitória de Guimarães
- 20 Sept 26Vitória de Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense
- 30 Jan 26Vitória de Guimarães 1-0 Moreirense
- 23 Aug 25Moreirense 2-0 Vitória de Guimarães
- 30 Mar 25Moreirense 2-2 Vitória de Guimarães
- 3 Nov 24Vitória de Guimarães 1-0 Moreirense